"Bankroll management might not be the sexiest part of poker, but it’s essential for every Spin player."

Chapter 8: Bankroll Management

Before moving up in Spin & Go stakes, you need to learn how to walk without falling.

Written by Gandalf, professional Spin & Go player and co-founder of Poker Sciences.

Now that you're convinced it’s possible to win in Spin & Go, it’s time to go over the core fundamentals of grinding. And the first essential topic is bankroll management.

You’ve probably heard of this concept already, whether in MTTs, Cash Games, or Spins. Maybe it seems secondary or just not very exciting to you. But bankroll management is a crucial skill for every poker player.

Profit or bust? It all comes down to your bankroll management

As we’ve seen earlier, even the best players go through downswings — 20, 40, 60, or even more than 80 buy-ins in a row.

Good bankroll management allows you to:

  • Play with peace of mind, without risking it all.
  • Progress and move up in stakes without jeopardizing your roll.
  • Avoid having to constantly redeposit money into your account.

🪜   Your goal is to build up capital and move up the stakes. You might start at the €1 level, then move to €2, and so on. But if you take reckless risks and don’t manage your bankroll properly, you could lose everything and have to start again from the bottom.

How many buy-ins can you lose depending on your skill level?

Let’s take a concrete example: you’re a decent Spin & Go player at the €2 level (500 starting chips), performing slightly above average but not crushing the stakes. Let’s say your CEV is 59.

Using Swongsim (yes, we’re getting used to it by now), we can estimate potential losses starting from a bankroll of €500.

First, let’s define two terms: “lowest point” and “downswing”

As a picture is worth a thousand words, here's a simple graphic explanation:

Lower point vs Downswing explanation

Lowest point:

The lowest your bankroll reaches over a given period. In the graph, this is when your roll drops to €400.

Downswing:

The difference between the highest and lowest points during a period. In the example, the roll went from €1000 to €400, so a 600€ downswing.

Simulation results: Lowest Point

Swongsim results 2000 games, 59 CEV, lower point
Swongsim results for a player with a theoretical CEV of 59 playing 2000 Spin games

Here’s what we can observe:

  • With a CEV of 59, there’s a 50% chance your lowest bankroll point will be around −14 buy-ins (i.e. €472).
  • A 20% chance it drops to −29 buy-ins (€442).
  • In the worst-case scenario, your bankroll could fall as low as €338, which means a downswing of −81 buy-ins.

Simulation results: Downswing

Swongsim also allows us to analyze the largest potential downswing over 2000 games:

Swongsim results 2000 games, 59 CEV, downswing
  • A typical €2 Spin player has a 50% chance of experiencing a 50 buy-in downswing.
  • 30% chance of a 60 buy-in downswing or more.

A bankroll going from €500 → €650 → €530 (i.e. -60 buy-ins) is totally normal!

Conclusion: What bankroll size ensures safety?

The simulations show that an average player at the €2 level should have at least 85 buy-ins to avoid going bust.

To be safe, we recommend starting with a minimum of 100 buy-ins.

Your skill level also affects these recommendations. The weaker you are at the tables, the deeper your bankroll should be.Here’s what we recommend:

  • Beginner (CEV 45): 200 buy-ins recommended.
  • Average player (CEV 59): 100 minimum, 150 for peace of mind.
  • Skilled player (CEV 70+): 70 buy-ins may be enough.

⚠️ Note: these recommendations apply to classic Spins with 500 starting chips. For Spin & Go Nitro, you'll need at least twice the bankroll, due to significantly higher variance.

📊   Keep in mind that a "good" CEV depends heavily on the stake you're playing. The higher the limit, the harder it is to maintain a high CEV. A player with a CEV of 40 at €20 stakes is probably better than a player with 60 CEV at €2 stakes.
In the previous chapter, we saw that high volume is essential to overcome variance. In this chapter, we’ve seen that starting with a bankroll of at least 100 buy-ins is just as important.

What if my bankroll gets close to zero?

Let’s imagine that you followed our advice, and started your Spin & Go journey with a 100 buy-in bankroll.

But you're running bad — and now you're down to only 30 buy-ins...

What should you do in this situation? You have three options:

1. Cross your fingers and keep playing... Mathematically, according to the simulations, you’re not “supposed” to go broke.However, there’s a chance you’ve overestimated your skill level (your actual CEV), which would make the simulation results inaccurate for you.

Only choose this option if you feel mentally strong and still able to play with confidence.If not, consider Option 2 below.

2. Move down in stakes. This is probably the wisest choice. We recommend this route if you no longer feel comfortable with the size of your bankroll.

Drop down a limit, rebuild your roll, regain confidence — and move back up once you're ready to handle the variance again.

🤷‍♂️   There’s no shame in moving down a stake if you're no longer comfortable with your current bankroll. I personally did it several times early in my Spin grinding journey.

3. Re-deposit. This is usually the worst option. It suffers from the same flaw as Option 1: you’re assuming that the downswing is only due to bad luck, when in fact you might be playing below the level you think.

As a result, you could end up repeatedly reloading your bankroll, turning poker into a source of financial loss instead of income.

Remember — the whole purpose of bankroll management is to avoid having to re-deposit!

Bonus: The Breakeven Periods

Want more simulations? Using Swongsim, we can also simulate breakeven stretches — that is, periods where you neither win nor lose money.

And spoiler alert: these periods can be very long…

For example, this graph shows a player experiencing a breakeven period of 1,700 games:

breakeven graph explanation (bankroll management in poker spins)

Now let’s look at simulation results to see how common these breakeven stretches are (again, assuming our €2 player with a CEV of 59):

Swongsim results 2000 games, 59 CEV, breakeven

Over 2,000 games:

  • You have a 50% chance of going through a 700-game stretch without making any profit.
  • You have a 100% chance of going through a 250-game breakeven period.

So yes — long breakeven stretches are a normal part of a winning player’s journey.

Icône représentant un livre ouvert avec un point d’interrogation dessus.

Summary

Bankroll management is essential to secure your progress.

An average player should start with at least 100 buy-ins, or even 150 for peace of mind.

Downswings and breakeven periods are completely normal: losing 60 buy-ins or not profiting for 700 games can and does happen.